DIS · US
DIS.US: FY26 Q2 $25.2B — record parks & SVOD margin inflection
Disney FY26 Q2 revenue $25.17B (+7%), Experiences $9.49B / OI $2.62B; Entertainment SVOD OI $582M (10.6% margin). Adj EPS $1.57. First print under CEO D'Amaro.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/dis-us-research#thesis
Snapshot
- Price (approx.)
- USD 118
- Mkt cap (approx.)
- USD 212.0B
- Revenue (approx.)
- USD 100.7B
- Entertainment SVOD OI (Q)
- USD 582.0M
As-of 2026-09-25 (weekly refresh; equities aligned to §A. Missing series are N/A/null. Not investment advice.)
Thesis
Disney FY26 Q2 revenue $25.17B (+7%), record Experiences $9.49B / OI $2.62B; Entertainment SVOD OI $582M and first double-digit margin (10.6%). Adj EPS $1.57 (+8%); GAAP EPS $1.27 tax-hit. First print under Josh D'Amaro. Parks cash cow + streaming inflection; linear TV still a drag.
Business
Model: IP → film/TV storefront → parks/consumer/streaming. Flagships: Experiences; Disney+/Hulu SVOD; ESPN DTC. Edge: IP and park pricing power. Strategy: SVOD margin ≥10%, ESPN DTC, park capacity. Entity: The Walt Disney Company.
Value chain
Downstream experiences and distribution. Upstream: creative talent, sports rights, construction/cruise yards; downstream: guests, advertisers, subscribers. Rights and ad cycles matter. Risks: build inflation, cruise fuel/insurance, content cost.
Valuation
Price context ~$118 / mkt ~$212B. Market prices park resilience + SVOD margins and discounts linear TV.
Valuation snapshot (multi-lens)
| Metric | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| TTM PE | N/A | 未接入具名行情源;TTM 盈利≤0 或未核验时不填造倍数 |
| PB | N/A | 待最新净资产与市值核验 |
| 股息率 | N/A | 待分红公告 / IR |
| 现价语境 | 约 118 | DIS · 以包内 kpi_snapshot 时点为准 |
~3y PE / PB / dividend yield / trailing 1Y ann. return. Points without a named market source are null:
Valuation & return · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Share price · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial trend (~24 months)
Last ~8Q revenue and margins with YoY / QoQ. Missing quarters stay null:
Revenue · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Net income · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial health (§A.7)
OCF is normally lumpy for a media conglomerate; debt vs park CapEx in latest 10-Q. Audit expected unqualified.
Financial health (OCF / debt / liquidity / audit)
| Item | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 财务健康总评 | 稳健偏扩张 | 以最新季报 OCF 与净现金为准 |
| 经营现金流 | 见最新 10-Q | AI 周期龙头通常 OCF 强劲 |
| 净负债 / 现金 | 投资级或净现金 | 详见 table 与 IR |
| 流动性 | 充裕 | Current ratio / cash & equivalents |
| 审计意见 | 无保留(常规预期) | 以最新 10-K 为准 |
Operations
Domestic park attendance −1%, per-cap +5%; Fubo in Entertainment. Company expects H2 acceleration.
Key financial points
| Item | Value | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 营收 | $25.17B | +7% | 超自身指引 |
| Experiences | $9.49B | +7% | OI $2.62B / +5% |
| Entertainment | $11.72B | +10% | 含 Fubo |
| SVOD OI | $582M | +88% | 利润率 10.6% |
| adj EPS | $1.57 | +8% | GAAP $1.27 |
| 分部 OI | $4.6B | +4% | 合计 |
Competition
Peer strengths/weaknesses; share charts only when a named source exists.
Peer map
| Company | Share/role | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disney (self) | IP conglomerate | Mid | IP+Parks | Linear TV decline |
| Netflix | Streaming pure | High | Global DTC | No parks |
| Comcast/NBCU | Conglomerate peer | Mid | Theme parks | Cable |
Management
Management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CEO | Bob Iger | 2022 return | Continued leadership |
| CFO | Hugh Johnston | 2023 | No material change |
| Chair | Board Chair | — | See proxy |
Stability: Josh D'Amaro became CEO in FY26; parks-background continuity is high — watch content/ESPN governance.
Outlook
Track FY SVOD margin, park attendance, ESPN DTC, tax rate and buybacks.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Condition | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Demand/execution beats | Upside |
| Base | Trend continues | Hold/watch |
| Bear | Cycle/competition worsens | Drawdown/reassess |
Risks
| Risk | Severity | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 需求/指引不及预期 | 高 | 宏观打击乐园、线性电视下滑、内容投入、开业费用、管理层换届。 |
| 竞争加剧 | 中 | 同业扩产或降价挤压份额与毛利 |
| 供应链约束 | 中 | 关键零部件或产能瓶颈 |
| 估值与流动性 | 中 | 主题退潮或解禁带来回撤 |
| 政策与合规 | 低 | 出口管制、监管或审计关注 |
Tracking list
Verify on next earnings:
- Entertainment SVOD FY op. margin ≥10% path
- Experiences domestic attendance vs per-cap spend; cruise/Frozen pre-opening
- ESPN DTC offset vs linear TV decline
- FY26 adj EPS ~+12% guide
- Capital return vs content spend under CEO D'Amaro
References
- Disney FY2026 Q2 earnings — https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1744489/000174448926000036/fy2026_q2xprxex991.htm
- Disney IR — https://thewaltdisneycompany.com/investor-relations/
- Parks / streaming peer filings
Not investment advice; defer to latest company filings.
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