688498.SH · A-shares
688498.SH Source Photonics: high-speed laser chips (DFB/EML)
Source Photonics Domestic **InP laser chip** leader (DFB/EML)—400G/800G module upgrade; upstream vs Lumentum/Coherent, downstream to Zhongji. Watch EML ramp, yield, silicon ph
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/source-688498-research#thesis
Snapshot
- Price
- CNY 180
- Mkt cap
- CNY 15.0B
- Revenue
- CNY 2.8B
- EML/100G+ chip mix
- 0.45
As-of 2026-09-25 (weekly refresh; equities aligned to §A. Missing series are N/A/null. Not investment advice.)
Thesis
Source Photonics Domestic InP laser chip leader (DFB/EML)—400G/800G module upgrade; upstream vs Lumentum/Coherent, downstream to Zhongji. Watch EML ramp, yield, silicon photonics competition.
Business
Model: optical chip IDM/fabless-hybrid. Flagships: 2.5G–100G DFB; 25G/50G/EML high-speed. Edge: IDM yield control, localization. Strategy: expand EML/silicon photonics; raise 100G+ mix.
Value chain
Optical chip upstream to modules/TFC packaging; InP substrates/MOCVD equipment upstream. Concentrated customers; risks: silicon photonics, pricing, yield swings, telco slowdown.
Valuation
Valuation snapshot (multi-lens)
| Metric | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| TTM PE | N/A | 未接入具名行情源;TTM 盈利≤0 或未核验时不填造倍数 |
| PB | N/A | 待最新净资产与市值核验 |
| 股息率 | N/A | 待分红公告 / IR |
| 现价语境 | 约 180 | 688498.SH · 以包内 kpi_snapshot 时点为准 |
Valuation · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Growth optical chip multiple; PE sensitive to EML mix and AI DC demand.
~3y valuation/return series (PE, PB, dividend yield, trailing 1Y ann. return; reconstructed from public market data):
Valuation · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
~3y share price (quarterly close, split-adjusted approx.; market data reconstruction):
Share price · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial trend (~24 months)
Illustrative 8Q with YoY/QoQ (reconstructed from public disclosures; not audit-line):
Revenue · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Net income · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial health (§A.7)
Financial health (OCF / debt / liquidity / audit)
| Item | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 财务健康总评 | 见最新披露 | 以 OCF 与负债率为准 |
| 经营现金流 | 见中报 / 季报 | 与净利润匹配度 |
| 资产负债率 | 见最新资产负债表 | 有息负债 vs 现金 |
| 流动性 | 见流动比率 | 货币资金与短债 |
| 审计意见 | 无保留(常规预期) | 半年报未经审计 |
Financial health (§A.7)
Overall: neutral/solid—IDM expansion raises CapEx; cash still adequate—watch utilization.
Operations
Volume: laser chip shipments; price: high-speed ASP; cost: epitaxy, yield, depreciation.
Key financial points
| Item | Value | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 营收 | 约 28 亿 | +42% | 高速芯片 |
| EML | 占比提升 | 高增 | 800G 驱动 |
| 毛利率 | 约 44% | IDM 属性 | 良率关键 |
| 电信 vs 数通 | 数通占比升 | 结构改善 | 需求分化 |
Competition
Market share vs peers (illustrative estimate):
Peer strengths/weaknesses:
Peer comparison
| Company | Position | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 源杰 | DFB/EML | 44% | IDM 国产 | 规模较小 |
| Lumentum | 全球激光 | 40%+ | 技术 | 对华竞争 |
| 天孚 | 器件 | 53% | 配套 | 非芯片 |
| 中际旭创 | 模块 | 33% | 下游 | 垂直整合风险 |
Management
Core management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 董事长 | 秦卫星 | 长期 | 技术背景 |
| 总经理 | 经营团队 | 在任 | 无重大变动 |
| CFO | 财务负责人 | 在任 | 科创板披露 |
Stability: Tech-led management; laser chip focus; governance maturing post-IPO.
Outlook
Track EML capacity, 100G+ mix, margins, silicon photonics substitution risk.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Condition | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Demand/execution beats | Upside |
| Base | Trend continues | Hold/watch |
| Bear | Cycle/competition worsens | Drawdown/reassess |
Risks
| Risk | Severity | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 订单/需求不及预期 | 高 | 硅光替代;价格战;良率下滑;电信资本开支放缓;客户集中。 |
| 竞争加剧与价格战 | 中 | 同业扩产或降价挤压份额与毛利 |
| 供应链与制程约束 | 中 | 关键零部件、先进制程或产能瓶颈 |
| 估值与流动性波动 | 中 | 主题退潮或解禁带来股价回撤 |
| 政策与合规变化 | 低 | 国产替代节奏、出口管制或审计关注 |
Tracking list
Verify on next interim/annual report:
- EML revenue mix rising sequentially (AI datacom validation)
- 100G+ chip gross margin trend
- Utilization vs expansion depreciation impact
- Silicon photonics 800G penetration accelerating (falsification risk)
- Telco orders dragging consolidated growth
References
Issuer / key sources:
- Latest company filings / IR (see issuer website)
- SSE / SZSE filings — https://www.sse.com.cn/ · https://www.szse.cn/
- Related: CPU industry H2 2026 · ISA landscape · wiki-links in body
Not investment advice; defer to latest company filings.
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