601985.SH · A-shares
601985.SH CNNC Power (CNNC listed proxy): ops + capacity growth
CNNC Group is not a single A-share listco; this note uses CNNC Nuclear Power (601985.SH) as the investable proxy. 2025 revenue ¥82.075B (+6.22%), parent NI ¥9.304B (+6.00%); nuclear parent NI ~¥8.958B (+18.53%). A-share ~¥9.1 / mkt ~¥186.3B. Thesis: steady nuclear ops + new-unit growth.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/cnnc-power-601985-research#thesis
Market snapshot
- A-share (~7/31)
- CNY 9.06
- Market cap (approx)
- CNY 186.3B
- 2025 parent NI
- CNY 9.3B
- 2025 revenue
- CNY 82.1B
Thesis
CNNC Group is not a single A-share ticker. This note uses CNNC Nuclear Power (601985.SH): 2025 revenue ¥82.075B (+6.22%), parent NI ¥9.304B (+6.00%); nuclear parent NI ~¥8.958B (+18.53%). A-share ~¥9.1 / mkt ~¥186.3B.
Thesis: steady nuclear ops + new-unit growth; renewables are a second curve with different returns.
Business
Model: Build and commercially operate nuclear units; sell power to the grid. Renewables are a secondary curve. Revenue ≈ generation × tariff; earnings sensitive to utilization and tariff design.
Flagships:
- Nuclear ops — 2025 nuclear revenue ~¥67.1B; nuclear parent NI ~¥8.958B (+18.53%) is the quality core.
- Units under construction / pending COD — approval and COD cadence drive mid-term capacity growth.
- Renewables — second curve with different returns.
Competitiveness:
- CNNC-system nuclear operating platform with scale and licensing barriers.
- High fixed cost but low marginal generation cost → relatively predictable cash when utilization is steady.
Strategy (12–24m): Track new-unit approvals, construction, COD; renewables CapEx cadence. Near-term NI still driven by operating-unit hours and tariffs.
Value chain
Position: midstream generation — upstream fuel/equipment/EPC; downstream grid offtake; earn generation/capacity-linked returns.
| Side | Counterparties | Leverage / dependency |
|---|---|---|
| Upstream | Nuclear fuel, reactor/turbine kit, EPC | Strong fuel & long-cycle equipment/schedule dependency |
| Downstream | Grid offtake, tariff mechanisms | Tariffs & utilization set revenue |
Supply-chain risks (≥2):
- Nuclear fuel and critical equipment / import controls.
- Construction delays stranding CapEx and slipping COD.
Price & valuation
~7/31 A-share ~¥9.06. Utility multiples track rates and tariff policy.
Financial trend (~24 months)
~8 quarters of revenue and gross margin with YoY and QoQ. Utility seasonality is mild; swings mainly from outages, new COD, and settlement timing.
Revenue · last 8 quarters
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8 quarters
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Operations
Key financials
| Item | Value | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue 2025 | ¥82.075B | +6.22% | Nuclear rev ¥67.107B |
| Parent NI 2025 | ¥9.304B | +6.00% | Steady overall |
| Nuclear parent NI | ~¥8.958B | +18.53% | Core quality |
| Total assets | ¥749.262B | +13.57% | Capacity build |
| Entity note | CNNC Group ≠ listco | — | Investable: 601985 |
Competition
Domestic nuclear ops are a duopoly (CNNC Power vs CGN Power); thermal/hydro/renewables compete inside the power system.
Strengths: Licensing + operating fleet; steadier earnings quality vs coal; approval pipeline for growth.
Weaknesses: Very long build cycles and heavy CapEx; uncertain renewables returns; weaker dividend narrative vs hydro champions.
Peer comparison
| Company | Share / position | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 中国核电 601985 | 国内核电运营前列 | GM ~34% | 在运机组+核准管线 | 建设周期长、资本开支重 |
| 中国广核 003816 | 核电双寡头之一 | 相近 | 机组规模与运营经验 | 同样长周期审批 |
| 华能国际 600011 | 火电+新能源 | 低于核电 | 装机多元化 | 煤电燃料成本波动 |
| 大唐发电 601991 | 综合发电 | 偏低 | 区域电源布局 | 盈利稳定性弱于核电 |
Management
Core roles and 24m changes per annual/ad-hoc filings; SOE context means group appointments matter.
Stability call: Stable operating continuity; watch group appointment notices for material changes.
Key management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 董事长 | 卢铁忠(以最新公告为准) | 披露任职 | 期间无重大披露变动(以公告为准) |
| 总经理 | 见年报董事高管 | 披露任职 | 期间无重大披露变动(以公告为准) |
| 财务负责人 | 见年报 | 披露任职 | 期间无重大披露变动(以公告为准) |
Outlook
Track approvals, construction, COD, and utilization; separate nuclear vs wind/solar return profiles.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Conditions | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | On-time COD; stable tariffs | Faster NI |
| Base | Steady nuclear; slow renewables | Hold growth utility |
| Bear | Delays or tariff pressure | Growth discounted |