MCD · US

MCD.US: Q2'26 $7.1B — comps slow & new US president

McDonald's Q2 revenue $7.10B (+4%), global comps +1.3%, US +0.8% (traffic still negative). EPS $3.32 / adj $3.38. Skye Anderson named US president. Defensive cash cow; near-term is execution.

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Snapshot

Price (approx.)
USD 267
Mkt cap (approx.)
USD 190.0B
Revenue (approx.)
USD 28.4B
Global comps (Q)
0.01
As of 2026-09-25

As-of 2026-09-25 (weekly refresh; equities aligned to §A. Missing series are N/A/null. Not investment advice.)

Thesis

McDonald's Q2 revenue $7.10B (+4%), global comps +1.3%, US +0.8% (traffic still negative, check up). EPS $3.32 / adj $3.38; Systemwide $37B. Skye Anderson named US president. Franchise cash cow; near-term is US traffic and value.

Business

Model: brand + real estate + franchise rent/royalty. Flagships: US value + loyalty; IOM; IDL. Edge: scale, supply chain, brand. Strategy: fix US traffic; unit growth. Entity: Corporation ≠ franchisee P&L.

Value chain

Downstream QSR brand. Upstream: beef/packaging/logistics; downstream: franchisees and guests. Top-5 suppliers not named. Risks: ag inflation, franchisee cash, labor.

Valuation

Price context ~$267. Defensive multiple, sensitive to comps. Dividend yield ~2.6%.

Valuation snapshot (multi-lens)

Valuation snapshot (multi-lens)
MetricValueNote
TTM PEN/A未接入具名行情源;TTM 盈利≤0 或未核验时不填造倍数
PBN/A待最新净资产与市值核验
股息率N/A待分红公告 / IR
现价语境约 267MCD · 以包内 kpi_snapshot 时点为准
As of 2026-09-25

~3y PE / PB / dividend yield / trailing 1Y ann. return. Points without a named market source are null:

Valuation & return · ~3y

Interactive chart available in the reader.

PE/PB/yield/return points are null until a named market source is wired; no linear fill. · As of 2026-09-25

Share price · ~3y

Interactive chart available in the reader.

Public quarterly closes (split-adjusted); do not invent gaps · As of 2026-09-25

Financial trend (~24 months)

Last ~8Q revenue and margins with YoY / QoQ. Missing quarters stay null:

Revenue · last 8Q

Interactive chart available in the reader.

Company IR / 10-Q quarterly revenue; null when missing · As of 2026-09-25

Gross margin · last 8Q

Interactive chart available in the reader.

Company IR gross margin; null when missing — no interpolation · As of 2026-09-25

Net income · last 8Q

Interactive chart available in the reader.

Attributable NI from filings; null when missing — no interpolation · As of 2026-09-25

Financial health (§A.7)

Structurally leveraged franchise model; OCF vs dividend is the test. See latest 10-Q net debt.

Financial health (OCF / debt / liquidity / audit)

Financial health (OCF / debt / liquidity / audit)
ItemValueNote
财务健康总评稳健偏扩张以最新季报 OCF 与净现金为准
经营现金流见最新 10-QAI 周期龙头通常 OCF 强劲
净负债 / 现金投资级或净现金详见 table 与 IR
流动性充裕Current ratio / cash & equivalents
审计意见无保留(常规预期)以最新 10-K 为准
As of 2026-09-25

Operations

IOM comps +1.5%, IDL +1.9%. ~220M 90-day loyalty users. US comps back on plan maybe 2027.

Key financial points

Key financial points
ItemValueYoYNote
Q2 营收$7.10B+4%略低于部分预期
全球同店+1.3%放缓美国 +0.8%
净利$2.36B+5%EPS $3.32
Systemwide$37B+5%季度
忠诚用户~2.2亿+13%90 日活
美国总裁Skye Anderson新任命执行变量
As of 2026-09-25

Competition

Peer strengths/weaknesses; share charts only when a named source exists.

Market share trend · last 8Q

Interactive chart available in the reader.

Named industry/company sources only; else omit or null · As of 2026-09-25

Peer market share comparison (latest est.)

Interactive chart available in the reader.

Named sources only; list in references · As of 2026-09-25

Peer map

Peer map
CompanyShare/roleMarginStrengthWeakness
McDonald's (self)QSR leaderHigh franchiseBrand+franchiseTraffic cycles
StarbucksCoffee QSRMidLoyaltyChina/labor
Yum! BrandsMulti-brandHighFranchiseLess scale than MCD
As of 2026-09-25

Management

Management (24m)

Management (24m)
RoleNameSince24m change
CEOChris Kempczinski2019No change
CFOIan Borden2023No material change
ChairBoard Chair—See proxy
As of 2026-09-25

Stability: Global CEO stable; new US president is a material 24m operating variable.

Outlook

Track US traffic, value menu, new-unit cannibalization, dividend.

Scenarios

Scenario Condition Implication
Bull Demand/execution beats Upside
Base Trend continues Hold/watch
Bear Cycle/competition worsens Drawdown/reassess

Risks

Risk Severity Note
需求/指引不及预期 高 客流持续负、加盟商压力、食品安全、汇率、估值。
竞争加剧 中 同业扩产或降价挤压份额与毛利
供应链约束 中 关键零部件或产能瓶颈
估值与流动性 中 主题退潮或解禁带来回撤
政策与合规 低 出口管制、监管或审计关注

Tracking list

Verify on next earnings:

  1. US comps and traffic inflection (company points to 2027)
  2. Global comps 1.3% re-acceleration and value-menu competitiveness
  3. Execution after Skye Anderson as US president
  4. Systemwide sales / ~220M loyalty users
  5. Franchisee cash flow vs new-unit cannibalization

References

  1. McDonald's Q2 2026 8-K — https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000063908
  2. McDonald's IR — https://corporate.mcdonalds.com/corpmcd/investors.html
  3. QSR comps / franchisee industry sources

Not investment advice; defer to latest company filings.

Disclaimer: For research information only. Not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.

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