OKTA · US
OKTA.US: Q2 FY27 $805M (+11%) — 28% FCF & low-teens growth
Okta Q2 FY27 revenue $805M (+11%), subscription $793M (+12%), RPO $4.858B (+17%), FCF $227M (28% margin). FY27 $3.216–3.226B; ~1ppt professional-services-to-partner headwind.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/okta-us-research#thesis
Snapshot
- Price (approx.)
- USD 79
- Mkt cap (approx.)
- USD 14.0B
- Revenue (approx.)
- USD 3.2B
- RPO
- USD 4.9B
As-of 2026-09-25 (weekly refresh; equities aligned to §A. Missing series are N/A/null. Not investment advice.)
Thesis
Okta Q2 FY27 (ended 2026-07-31) revenue $805M (+11%), subscription $793M (+12%), RPO $4.858B (+17%), cRPO $2.585B (+14%). OCF $234M / FCF $227M (28% of revenue). FY27 $3.216–3.226B (+10–11%) with ~1ppt PS-to-partner headwind. Identity cash compounder at low-teens growth; tape is cRPO and agent identity.
Business
Model: Workforce/Customer identity-cloud subscriptions. Flagships: SSO/lifecycle; Auth0 CIAM; threat detection. Edge: integration fabric and cloud-neutral stance. Strategy: machine/AI-agent identity; shift PS to partners. Entity: Okta, Inc.; FY ends Jan 31.
Value chain
Identity mid-layer. Upstream: cloud and directories; downstream: almost every enterprise app. Moderate concentration. Risks: (1) post-incident trust; (2) Microsoft Entra bundling; (3) squeezed role vs IGA (SailPoint) and platform security (PANW+CyberArk).
Valuation
Price context ~$79 / mkt ~$14B (pack KPI). Low-teens growth maps to a mid-growth multiple; PE/PB stay null without a named market feed.
Valuation snapshot (multi-lens)
| Metric | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| TTM PE | N/A | 未接入具名行情源;TTM 盈利≤0 或未核验时不填造倍数 |
| PB | N/A | 待最新净资产与市值核验 |
| 股息率 | N/A | 待分红公告 / IR |
| 现价语境 | 约 79 | OKTA · 以包内 kpi_snapshot 时点为准 |
~3y PE / PB / dividend yield / trailing 1Y ann. return. Points without a named market source are null:
Valuation & return · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Share price · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial trend (~24 months)
Last ~8Q revenue and margins with YoY / QoQ. Missing quarters stay null:
Revenue · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Net income · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial health (§A.7)
Q2 OCF $234M (29%), FCF $227M (28%). FY FCF $910–930M. Net-cash software. Audit per latest 10-K.
Financial health (OCF / debt / liquidity / audit)
| Item | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 财务健康总评 | 现金牛 | FCF 利润率 28%;增速换质量 |
| 经营现金流 | $234M(Q2) | 占收 29%;来源 2026-08-26 EX-99.1 |
| 有息债 vs 现金 | 见 10-Q | 身份 SaaS 常规净现金,不在本 PR 详列 |
| 流动性 | 充裕 | FCF 指引 $910–930M |
| 审计意见 | 以最新 10-K 为准 | 本 EX-99.1 未重述 |
Operations
Q3 guide $813–817M revenue, cRPO $2.590–2.600B. FY FCF $910–930M (28–29% margin).
Key financial points
| Item | Value | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 营收 | $805M | +11% | 截至 2026-07-31 |
| 订阅 | $793M | +12% | 经常性 |
| RPO | $4.858B | +17% | cRPO $2.585B / +14% |
| FCF | $227M | 28% 利润率 | OCF $234M |
| Q3 指引 | $813–817M | +10% | cRPO $2.59–2.60B |
| FY27 营收 | $3.216–3.226B | +10–11% | PS 转伙伴 ~1ppt |
Competition
Peer strengths/weaknesses; share charts only when a named source exists.
Peer map
| Company | Share/role | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okta (self) | IAM / CIAM | FCF+ | SSO ecosystem | Growth deceleration |
| Microsoft Entra | Bundle IAM | N/A | Office attach | Not standalone |
| SailPoint | IGA | Cloud ramp | Governance | Less access-layer |
| PANW + CyberArk | PAM | FCF+ | Privileged/agent ID | Different job-to-be-done |
Management
Management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CEO / Co-founder | Todd McKinnon | Founding | No material change |
| CFO | CFO office | ongoing | Verify latest proxy |
| Auth0 / CIAM | CIAM leadership | post-acquisition | Integrated |
Stability: This EX-99.1 discloses no Chair/CEO/CFO change; continuity remains high on a 24m public-file basis.
Outlook
Track cRPO, agent-identity deals, Entra pressure, FCF guide.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Condition | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Demand/execution beats | Upside |
| Base | Trend continues | Hold/watch |
| Bear | Cycle/competition worsens | Drawdown/reassess |
Risks
| Risk | Severity | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 增速下台阶 | 高 | Q3 仅 +10%;PS 外置再削 1ppt |
| 平台捆绑 | 高 | Entra / PANW+CyberArk 压缩独立身份溢价 |
| 安全事件声誉 | 中 | 历史供应链事件后信任仍是溢价约束 |
| 竞争分工 | 中 | IGA(SailPoint)与 CIAM 价格战 |
| 估值 | 低 | 倍数已随增速回落 |
Tracking list
Verify on next earnings:
- Q3 $813–817M (+10%) and cRPO $2.590–2.600B
- FY27 $3.216–3.226B; ~1ppt PS-to-partner headwind
- RPO $4.858B (+17%) / cRPO $2.585B (+14%)
- FCF $227M (28%) vs FY $910–930M
- Agent/non-human identity deals vs Entra / PANW+CyberArk
References
- Okta Q2 FY2027 EX-99.1 (2026-08-26) — https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1660134/000166013426000068/okta-7312026_ex991.htm
- Okta IR — https://investor.okta.com/
- Peers — PANW identity / SailPoint IGA
Not investment advice; defer to latest company filings.
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