FTNT · US
FTNT.US: Q2'26 $2.05B (+26%) — product +52% & $2.37B billings
Fortinet Q2 2026 revenue $2.05B (+26%), product $773M (+52%), billings $2.37B (+33%); 34% GAAP OM, $966M FCF. FY26 revenue $8.020–8.180B. See PANW.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/ftnt-us-research#thesis
Snapshot
- Price (approx.)
- USD 162
- Mkt cap (approx.)
- USD 119.0B
- Revenue (approx.)
- USD 8.1B
- Product revenue (Q2)
- USD 773.0M
As-of 2026-09-25 (weekly refresh; equities aligned to §A. Missing series are N/A/null. Not investment advice.)
Thesis
Fortinet Q2 2026 (ended 2026-06-30) revenue $2.05B (+26%, above high end), product $773M (+52%), billings $2.37B (+33%). GAAP OM 34% / non-GAAP 38%, GAAP EPS $0.82 (+44%), OCF $1.04B / FCF $966M. FY26 revenue $8.020–8.180B. Still the latest formal print inside this stale window. Value security hardware + subscriptions; tape is whether product billings hold after the spike.
Business
Model: FortiGate appliances + security subscriptions/support. Flagships: FortiGate/ASIC; Secure SD-WAN; SecOps/SASE. Edge: price/performance and one OS. Strategy: richer service mix. Entity: Fortinet, Inc.
Value chain
Downstream security gateway. Upstream: wafers/ASIC/ODM; downstream: enterprise and telco channel. Not extremely concentrated, but channel inventory matters. Risks: (1) silicon lead times; (2) channel stuffing and price war vs PANW.
Valuation
Price context ~$162 / mkt ~$119B (pack KPI). High cash margins; multiple depends on billings durability. PE/PB null without a named market feed.
Valuation snapshot (multi-lens)
| Metric | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| TTM PE | N/A | 未接入具名行情源;TTM 盈利≤0 或未核验时不填造倍数 |
| PB | N/A | 待最新净资产与市值核验 |
| 股息率 | N/A | 待分红公告 / IR |
| 现价语境 | 约 162 | FTNT · 以包内 kpi_snapshot 时点为准 |
~3y PE / PB / dividend yield / trailing 1Y ann. return. Points without a named market source are null:
Valuation & return · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Share price · ~3y
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial trend (~24 months)
Last ~8Q revenue and margins with YoY / QoQ. Missing quarters stay null:
Revenue · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Net income · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Financial health (§A.7)
Q2 OCF $1.04B, FCF $966M. High-margin security cash engine. Audit per latest 10-K.
Financial health (OCF / debt / liquidity / audit)
| Item | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 财务健康总评 | 现金生成强 | 单季 FCF $966M;硬件周期仍在 |
| 经营现金流 | $1.04B(Q2) | 来源 Fortinet 2026-07-29 PR |
| 有息债 vs 现金 | 见 10-Q | 本 PR 强调 FCF,未列净债明细 |
| 流动性 | 充裕 | FCF $966M |
| 审计意见 | 以最新 10-K 为准 | 本 PR 未重述 |
Operations
Q3 revenue $2.010–2.100B, billings $2.250–2.350B, non-GAAP EPS $0.83–0.87. FY service $5.180–5.220B.
Key financial points
| Item | Value | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 营收 | $2.05B | +26% | 超指引上沿 |
| 产品 | $773M | +52% | 硬件弹性 |
| 账单 | $2.37B | +33% | 预订 |
| GAAP OM | 34% | — | non-GAAP 38% |
| FCF | $966M | 单季 | OCF $1.04B |
| FY26 营收 | $8.020–8.180B | ~+19% | 公司口径 |
Competition
Peer strengths/weaknesses; share charts only when a named source exists.
Peer map
| Company | Share/role | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortinet (self) | Firewall value | High GM | Cost leadership | Brand vs PANW |
| Palo Alto | Platform | High | Premium brand | Price |
| CrowdStrike | Endpoint | High GM | Cloud-native | Different wedge |
| Check Point | Security | High | Profit focus | Growth |
Management
Management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CEO | Ken Xie | co-founder | No material change |
| CFO | Keith Jensen / office | long window | Verify latest filings |
| CTO | Michael Xie | co-founder | No material change |
Stability: Founders Ken Xie / Michael Xie remain the long-tenured slate; this PR discloses no control change.
Outlook
Track Q3 billings, product-growth fade, channel inventory, platform war vs PANW.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Condition | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Demand/execution beats | Upside |
| Base | Trend continues | Hold/watch |
| Bear | Cycle/competition worsens | Drawdown/reassess |
Risks
| Risk | Severity | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 产品收入高增不可持续 | 高 | 产品 +52% 后 Q3 营收指引仅约持平至微增 |
| 渠道库存 | 高 | 安全硬件常见塞货/去库存 |
| 价格战 vs PANW | 中 | 平台订阅与防火墙 ASP |
| ASIC / 代工 | 中 | 自研芯片供给 |
| 估值 | 中 | 已部分定价利润率与回购 |
Tracking list
Verify on next earnings:
- Q3 $2.010–2.100B revenue and $2.250–2.350B billings
- FY26 $8.020–8.180B (~+19% company)
- Product $773M (+52%) durability vs channel inventory
- Q2 OCF $1.04B / FCF $966M and 38% non-GAAP OM
- SASE/service mix vs FortiGate hardware cycle
References
- Fortinet Q2 2026 results (2026-07-29) — https://www.fortinet.com/corporate/about-us/newsroom/press-releases/2025/fortinet-reports-strong-second-quarter-2026-financial-results
- Fortinet IR — https://investor.fortinet.com/
- Peers — PANW · CRWD
Not investment advice; defer to latest company filings.
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