FTNT · US
FTNT.US: Value cybersecurity hardware + subscriptions
Fortinet value cybersecurity.
Cite a section with a deep link, e.g. /en/r/ftnt-us-research#thesis
Snapshot
- Price
- USD 162
- Mkt cap
- USD 119.0B
- Revenue
- USD 6.0B
- Service/security mix
- 0.55
Thesis
Fortinet ASIC firewall value proposition with rising subscriptions; as growth cools, billings/services matter more for the multiple.
Business
Model: appliances + security subscriptions. Flagships: FortiGate; Secure SD-WAN; SecOps. Edge: price/performance + unified OS. Strategy: raise services mix + SASE.
Value chain
Security gateway HW/SW; upstream foundry; downstream enterprises/SPs. Risks: chip supply; channel inventory; price wars.
Valuation
Cyber growth/value hybrid; sensitive to product billings.
Financial trend (~24 months)
Illustrative 8Q with YoY/QoQ (reconstructed from public disclosures; not audit-line):
Revenue · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Gross margin · last 8Q
Interactive chart available in the reader.
Operations
Volume: appliances + seats; price: HW ASP + subs; cost: ASIC/supply + channel.
Key financials
| Item | Value | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (approx) | ~$6B | +low-teens | Product+service |
| Service mix | >50% | +pp | Recurring |
| Gross margin | ~75%+ | — | Software-like |
| Op. margin | High | — | Efficient model |
Competition
Peer strengths/weaknesses:
Peer map
| Company | Share/role | Margin | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortinet (self) | Firewall value | High GM | Cost leadership | Brand vs PANW |
| Palo Alto | Platform | High | Premium brand | Price |
| CrowdStrike | Endpoint | High GM | Cloud-native | Different wedge |
| Check Point | Security | High | Profit focus | Growth |
Management
Management (24m)
| Role | Name | Since | 24m change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CEO | Ken Xie | co-founder | No material change |
| CFO | Keith Jensen / office | long window | Verify latest filings |
| CTO | Michael Xie | co-founder | No material change |
Stability: Founder-brother team, long stability.
Outlook
Track product billings, services mix, inventory, large deals.
Scenarios
| Scenario | Condition | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Demand/execution beats | Upside |
| Base | Trend continues | Hold/watch |
| Bear | Cycle/competition worsens | Drawdown/reassess |
Risks
Not investment advice; defer to latest company filings.